How it works

Plain-English answers to what the numbers on this site mean and where they come from. No hype, no guaranteed winners.

The numbers

3-dart average. This is the one number that best captures a darts player's scoring power: how many points they average per three darts thrown. Higher is better, and the very best throwers sit around 100. We rate every player in DartsOrakel's ranked database (4,457 today โ€” the PDC, WDF, MODUS and development tours, not the PDC alone) across three windows: the last 12 months, the last 90 days and the last 30 days, each with its own ranking, so you can see at a glance who's in form and who's cooling off. We label the widest one 12 months, not "career": DartsOrakel's free tier returns the same rows for its all-time query as for a 365-day one (Luke Littler 101.37 either way), and a genuine multi-year query returns a different, lower number. We do not have a career average, so we do not claim one.

Recent results. We track the darts schedule and finished results (legs won and lost) across the tours. Match results are kept for only about two weeks at the source, so we save every match we see into a growing history โ€” a player's tracked record and leg count deepen every time the site refreshes. The free darts feeds don't publish per-match 180s or checkout percentages for individual matches, so recent form is shown at the leg level, and any 180s figure is a season-rate estimate that we clearly label as such.

Honest coverage. Darts doesn't have decades of detailed per-throw stats to draw on โ€” the professional era is modern and that detail was never made freely available. We show everything the sources cleanly expose: averages across four windows for the whole field, and an accumulating results-and-legs history. We never invent stats the feeds don't carry.

Props โ€” PrizePicks. Darts props (180s, legs won, checkout %, match/set legs) only appear during televised majors โ€” the Worlds, World Matchplay, Premier League nights. Between events the board shows win probabilities for the current slate and no props. That's expected, not a bug.

Win probabilities

Who wins. To estimate a match, we compare the two players' scoring averages. The bigger the gap in favour of one thrower, the higher their chance to win โ€” a small edge is close to a coin flip, a large one is a strong favorite. We weight each player's recent form more heavily than their 12-month average, so a player in hot (or cold) touch is reflected, without overreacting to a single good week.

180s and legs. A player's estimated 180s per leg is scaled from their scoring power โ€” bigger scorers hit more maximums. Leg and prop projections use the same idea. With no per-match stat history to draw on, these are informational projections to guide research, not a promise of a winning bet.

Being honest with you

Betting markets are hard to beat, and we don't claim to. Instead of a hyped record, the accuracy page simply shows how well our stated percentages match what actually happens on finished matches โ€” no profit or ROI claims. Everything on the site is projection and information to help you do your own research. We'll never dress up a number as a guaranteed edge.

Not affiliated with the PDC or PrizePicks. 21+. Projections are for information only.